Monday Night time Soccer Betting Picks & Predictions for Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Baltimore Ravens put their four-game profitable streak on the road once they head south to face the Buccaneers.

These groups have rather a lot in widespread. 

They’ve similar data at 4-2 and common nearly 30 factors per sport. It’s no shock we have now a complete that’s as excessive as 50 at some sportsbooks. 

Nevertheless, if one thing appears too simple, then it in all probability is. I’ll share why a first-half play on the Ravens gives one of the best worth on this matchup.

Watch out for the backdoor cowl

We’ve seen some motion on the full-game line with Tampa Bay as 3.5-point underdogs after opening at +5.5. 

That transfer is especially fascinating as a result of the harm report doesn’t mean something alarming for the Ravens.

It’s completely doable that the bookmakers merely despatched out a awful opening quantity for the sport. 

Nonetheless, the road was in all probability a bit steep on condition that these groups are of an identical caliber, which raises the query of why the Ravens would lay such a quantity on the highway on this spot.

In spite of everything, the Buccaneers have spectacular victories over the Commanders, Lions and Eagles—three groups with a mixed report of 14-5.

The road transfer does inform us that the Ravens can typically be responsible of enjoying with their meals.

In different phrases, they don’t at all times put their opponents away convincingly to kill off a sport and repel any comeback threats.

For years, it’s been the Ravens’ protection that’s carried the crew. Now we’re seeing the entrance workplace spend extra of its sources on offense to enhance their two-time MVP at quarterback, Lamar Jackson.

When Baltimore offers its protection a lead, it may well get picked aside. In accordance with FTN Fantasy’s DVOA metric, the Ravens rank 18th within the league towards the cross.

Buccaneers can play from behind

Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield is within the midst of among the finest begins of his profession, as he’s tied for the league lead in passing touchdowns with 15 on the season.

Beforehand, Mayfield was extra thought-about a sport supervisor, however he’s been capable of come into his personal on this Tampa Bay offense.

Buccaneers head coach Todd Bowles, who has a defensive pedigree, was rather more conservative in his first cease as a head coach with the New York Jets.

However now he’s change into rather more amenable to letting his quarterback sling the rock because the Buccaneers rank within the league’s high half in cross play share (57.1%).

There was a transparent shift within the Buccaneers’ method beneath Bowles as a result of he does have a great run offense. Tampa Bay is certainly one of seven groups that common a minimum of 5 yards per carry.

Nevertheless, stopping the run is one thing the Ravens’ protection does very nicely, because it leads the league within the fewest yards per carry (3.0), dashing makes an attempt allowed (19.5) and yards allowed per sport (59.0).

These numbers converse to Baltimore’s dominance early in video games as a result of groups typically need to abandon the run when enjoying from behind. 

I anticipate an identical state of affairs on Monday evening with a Tampa Bay protection that ranks twenty seventh in first-half factors allowed (14.0).

Greatest guess: Ravens 1H -1.5 (-110 at FanDuel)