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Monday, October 21, 2024

NFL Week 7 daring predictions: Jared Goff, Lions hand Vikings first loss; Giants’ Daniel Jones ends house TD skid


The Nationwide Soccer League is stuffed with surprises and historic oddities each single week.

Take a gander at this: Your complete NFC North division stood as the highest 4 within the NFL in level differential after Week 6 within the following order: the 5-0 Minnesota Vikings (+63), the 4-1 Detroit Lions (+60), the 4-2 Chicago Bears (+47) and the 4-2 Inexperienced Bay Packers (+41). That is the primary time a division has had 4 or extra groups within the prime 4 in level differential by any given week because the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.

What different distinctive or unlikely issues may come to be in Week 7? Come check out 5 prospects within the newest version of our NFL daring predictions right here at CBS Sports activities. 

Goff powers Hutchinson-less Lions to street upset of undefeated Vikings

The Minnesota Vikings are a dominant 5-0. They’ve trailed for simply three minutes and 26 seconds this season, which is the fifth-fewest period of time by any staff by 5 video games because the 1970 AFL/NFL merger. Minnesota hasn’t trailed in a sport since Week 1. Nonetheless, the Vikings are going to path and lose, for the primary time this season, in Week 7 due to Lions quarterback Jared Goff’s mastery of Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores’ blitz ideas. 

Final season, Flores’ Minnesota protection blitzed on the highest charge within the NFL, 50.7% of opponent dropbacks, however that didn’t section Goff. He was by no means sacked on 54 dropbacks in opposition to the Vikings blitz in two video games and performed turnover-free soccer in these conditions. This season, Flores remains to be a heavy blitzer, sending additional move rushers on 41.6% of opponent dropbacks, the third-highest charge within the NFL. Goff’s proficiency in opposition to the blitz can be the identical in 2024 since he leads the NFL in yards per move try (13.3) in opposition to it.  

Dropbacks

54

Comp Pct

74%

Move Yards/Try

8.2

TD-INT

3-0

Passer Ranking

116.4

Occasions Sacked

0

He additionally enters Week 7 with what may be argued as probably the most environment friendly, single two-game span throwing the soccer in NFL historical past, minimal 40 move makes an attempt. Goff has accomplished 36 of his 43 passes in his final two video games — wins in opposition to the Seattle Seahawks and the Dallas Cowboys — for 607 yards and 5 touchdowns for a median of 14.1 passing yards per try and a passer ranking of 157.5. His 157.5 passer ranking throughout the Lions’ final two video games is the very best in a single two-game span in NFL historical past, minimal 40 move makes an attempt.

I am betting Goff retains it rolling on the street and fingers the Vikings their first lack of 2024. 

Giants‘ Jones throws TD move at house vs. Eagles

New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones has been the topic of criticism from his personal followers and the soccer world at giant, and it is definitely warranted. In his final 5 house video games, Jones has didn’t throw a passing landing and as a substitute thrown an interception in every one. That is tied for the longest streak of house video games with no passing landing and at the least one interception because the 1970 AFL/NFL merger together with Panthers quarterback Jimmy Clausen (2010), Buccaneers quarterback Trent Dilfer (1995-1996) and Falcons quarterback Bob Lee (1974). Jones final threw a landing at house in Week 17 of the 2022 season in opposition to the Indianapolis Colts

Nonetheless, Jones snaps that streak and throws at the least one landing at MetLife Stadium in Week 7 in opposition to the Philadelphia Eagles, a staff tied with the Las Vegas Raiders for the fewest takeaways within the NFL this season with simply two. 

Wager Daniel Jones props at FanDuel sportsbook

Garrett fails to report sack in three straight video games 

Cleveland Browns edge rusher Myles Garrett, the 2023 NFL Defensive Participant of the 12 months, is a beast, clearly. His 92.5 sacks since getting into the NFL in 2017 are the second most within the league in that span trailing solely T.J. Watt’s 101.0, and he is off to a different nice begin in 2024 with 4 sacks in six video games. 

Nonetheless, none of these 4 has come within the final two weeks in opposition to Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels and Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts, two of probably the most cell QBs within the league. Weeks 5 and 6 mark the primary time since Weeks 12-16 final season. One would assume that streak would come to an finish on Sunday in opposition to Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow for a few causes. One can be that Burrow is not probably the most cell passer within the league, and the second is that Garrett owns the Bengals: His 12.0 profession sacks in opposition to Cincy are his most vs. single opponent. 

He will not sack Burrow on Sunday, and his sackless drought will proceed into Week 7. Garrett has aligned as the proper edge rusher on 74.4% of his snaps in 2024, which means a lot of his work will happen in opposition to Bengals left deal with Orlando Brown, per NFL Professional Insights. Brown has been the very best pass-blocking left deal with within the league this season, permitting a quarterback strain charge of three.6% — the bottom strain charge amongst left tackles in 2024 with a minimal of 75 move blocks. Burrow has additionally been discovering a lot of his success throwing rapidly, with an NFL-best seven touchdowns on fast passes whereas averaging 7.0 move yards per try on fast throws, the fifth most within the NFL, per NFL Professional Insights. Between Brown and Burrow’s play, Garrett will not be taking down the Bengals’ face-of-the-franchise on Sunday. 

Rodgers snaps 28-game streak with out 300 move yards vs. Steelers protection in Pittsburgh

Aaron Rodgers is likely one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time. He’s the NFL’s all-time chief in passer ranking (103.0) and touchdown-to-interception ratio (484-110, 4.4), however he has been unable to eclipse 300 passing yards in a sport for a surprising, career-long period of time: 28 video games in a row.

Snapping that streak in Week 7 will not be simple in opposition to a Steelers protection that is likely one of the greatest within the league in opposition to the move. They permit the fifth-lowest touchdown-to-interception ratio, seven touchdowns to seven interceptions, and the eighth-lowest passer ranking, 82.6, in the whole NFL. Nonetheless, Rodgers goes to search out sufficient success to finish the drought. He virtually did so final week in opposition to the Payments, ending with 294 passing yards, however he’ll do it this week, due to having his favourite all-time goal Davante Adams to throw to as soon as once more. The duo linked for 68 touchdowns in eight seasons collectively as Inexperienced Bay Packers from 2014-2021, probably the most Rodgers has thrown to a single receiver in his profession. Adams alongside 2022 NFL Offensive Rookie of the 12 months Garrett Wilson provides the 40-year-old sufficient juice within the playmaking division to interrupt free and rack up 300 yards in a sport as soon as once more. 

Wager Aaron Rodgers props at DraftKings Sportsbook

Allen maintains longest INT-free streak of profession vs. stingy Titans protection

Many have in contrast Buffalo Payments quarterback Josh Allen to Brett Favre in that they’re each rocket launcher-armed quarterbacks who throw with reckless abandon, to each their profit and their detriment. Since getting into the NFL in 2018, Allen ranks third within the league in passing touchdowns (177), however by his first six seasons (2018-2023), he led the league with 78 interceptions.

This season, he has performed extra like a unique Inexperienced Bay Packers legend, Aaron Rodgers, the proprietor of the very best touchdown-to-interception ratio (484-110, 4.4), when it comes to his ball safety. Allen has thrown 10 landing passes and no interceptions on 156 passing makes an attempt this season, which makes him the one certified quarterback with out an interception 2024 and the longest interception-free streak of his profession (six video games). 

Nonetheless, that streak will probably be examined in opposition to the Tennessee Titans on Sunday as they permit the fewest whole yards per sport allowed (248.8) and the fewest yards per play (4.3) within the NFL in 2024. An enormous portion of that determine comes from their move protection that’s surrendering the fewest passing yards per sport (137.0) and yards per move try (5.5). Which means tight window throws might be a a lot, however Allen will stretch his interception-free streak to seven video games anyhow. 

Wager Josh Allen props at BetMGM sportsbook



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