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Sunday, April 14, 2024

2024 Texas Open odds, picks, discipline, predictions: Golf insider fading Rory McIlroy at TPC San Antonio

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Corey Conners will try to win the Texas Open for the second yr in a row and third time total when he tees off within the 2024 Valero Texas Open starting on Thursday at TPC San Antonio. Final yr, Conners closed with a 4-under 68 to win by a shot over Sam Stevens. This week, Conners is trying to develop into the primary back-to-back winner on the Texas Open since Zach Johnson in 2008-09. He is also trying to be a part of Justin Leonard and Arnold Palmer as the one three-time winners of the match. 

The 32-year-old Canadian is listed at +2500 to repeat. In the meantime, Rory McIlroy is the +900 favourite within the 2024 Valero Texas Open odds. Ludvig Aberg (+1200), Jordan Spieth (+2000), Hideki Matsuyama (+2000) and Max Homa (+2200) spherical out the highest 5 decisions within the Valero Texas Open 2024 discipline. Earlier than locking in any 2024 Texas Open picks, be sure you see the PGA Tour predictions and greatest bets from golf betting and fantasy professional Sia Nejad.

Nejad focuses on betting and DFS in golf, amongst different sports activities. He is had unimaginable success within the outright and first-round chief markets and in betting head-to-head matchups. He additionally has been stable along with his head-to-head matchups since final yr’s Charles Schwab Problem, going 37-23-2 and returning 9.853 models over that span. That is a $985 revenue for $100 bettors since Might 2023.

Nejad additionally nailed 75-1 longshot Wyndham Clark because the outright winner on the Wells Fargo Championship. In 2023, SportsLine debuted “The Early Wedge,” and within the first three months of the present, he hit two first-round leaders and three outright winners.

Now, Nejad has centered his consideration on the 2024 Texas Open discipline and has locked in his greatest bets, prime sleepers and favorites to keep away from. See whom they’re at SportsLine.

Prime 2024 Texas Open professional picks

One shock: Nejad is totally fading McIlroy, though he’s the favourite at +900. The four-time main winner has not performed like classic McIlroy in 5 PGA Tour begins to this point this season. He ranks 119th on tour in strokes gained: method the inexperienced (-0.176) and 134th in strokes gained: across the inexperienced (-0.189).

That helps clarify why he’s nonetheless in search of his first prime 10 end this season. He got here in 66th on the AT&T Pebble Seashore Professional-Am, twenty fourth on the Genesis Invitational, twenty first at each the Cognizant Basic and the Arnold Palmer Invitational and nineteenth on the Gamers Championship. “Whereas I believe he is a stable course match and an elite participant, his worth is just too brief,” Nejad instructed SportsLine.

Nevertheless, Nejad is excessive on the probabilities of Byeong Hun An, who’s listed at +3500. The 32-year-old from South Korea has two top-five and three top-10 finishes this season. He’s coming off his lone missed reduce of the yr, on the Gamers Championship.

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Nejad likes that An has excelled with the driving force this season. An ranks nineteenth on Tour in strokes gained: off-the-tee (0.503). “His metrics could be risky, however I am glad to financial institution on his upside on this discipline,” Nejad stated. See which different golfers to again at SportsLine.

Tips on how to make 2024 Texas Open picks

Nejad has locked in his greatest bets for the 2024 Texas Open and is backing a number of longshots, together with one that’s priced at greater than +12000. This participant is in “good kind” and is a longshot who might shock. You’ll be able to see Nejad’s PGA Tour picks solely at SportsLine.

So which gamers do you have to goal or keep away from for the 2024 Texas Open, and which participant within the Texas Open 2024 discipline might deliver an enormous payday at greater than +12000? Try the percentages under, then go to SportsLine to see Sia Nejad’s prime picks for the 2024 Texas Open, all from the professional who’s 37-23-2 on his final 62 head-to-head picks.

2024 Texas Open odds, discipline

See Nejad’s picks, greatest bets and predictions right here.

Rory McIlroy +900
Ludvig Aberg +1200
Jordan Spieth +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +2000
Max Homa +2200
Matt Fitzpatrick +2500
Corey Conners +2500
Collin Morikawa +2500
Tommy Fleetwood +2800
Byeong Hun An +3000
Alex Noren +3000
Harris English +3500
Brian Harman +3500
Billy Horschel +3500
Russell Henley +4000
Adam Scott +4000
Eric Cole +4500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4500
Tom Kim +5000
Maverick McNealy +5000
Beau Hossler +5000
Akshay Bhatia +5500
Aaron Rai +5500
Keith Mitchell +6000
Denny McCarthy +6000
Brendon Todd +7000
Taylor Montgomery +7500
Lucas Glover +7500
Adam Schenk +7500
Nicolai Hojgaard +7500
Ok.H. Lee +8000
Erik Van Rooyen +8000
Davis Thompson +8000
Ben Griffin +8000
Austin Eckroat +8000
Andrew Putnam +8000
Sam Ryder +9000
Ryo Hisatsune +9000
Lee Hodges +9000
Doug Ghim +9000
Davis Riley +9000
Ryan Moore +10000
Rickie Fowler +10000
Patrick Rodgers +10000
Bud Cauley +10000
Victor Perez +11000
Taylor Pendrith +11000
Seamus Energy +11000
Max Greyserman +11000
Matt Kuchar +11000
Mark Hubbard +11000
Kevin Yu +11000
Chandler Phillips +11000
Andrew Novak +11000
S.H. Kim +13000
Ryan Fox +13000
Nate Lashley +13000
Matti Schmid +13000
Charley Hoffman +13000
Cameron Champ +13000
Adam Svensson +13000
Thorbjorn Olesen +13000
Martin Laird +15000
Joseph Bramlett +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
Jacob Bridgeman +15000
J.J. Spaun +15000
Greyson Sigg +15000
Chesson Hadley +15000
C.T. Pan +15000
Alejandro Tosti +15000
Webb Simpson +18000
Joel Dahmen +18000
Joe Highsmith +18000
Garrick Higgo +18000
David Skinns +18000
Chad Ramey +18000
Aaron Baddeley +18000
Sam Stevens +20000
Ryan Palmer +20000
Michael Kim +20000
Justin Decrease +20000
Jimmy Stanger +20000
Harry Corridor +20000
Dylan Wu +20000
Chris Gotterup +20000
Carl Yuan +20000
Ben Silverman +20000
Alexander Bjork +20000
Vincent Norrman +25000
Vince Whaley +25000
Robby Shelton +25000
Nick Hardy +25000
Jorge Campillo +25000
Chan Kim +25000
Carson Younger +25000
Zach Johnson +30000
Tyler Duncan +30000
Troy Merritt +30000
Parker Coody +30000
Nico Echavarria +30000
Lanto Griffin +30000
Kevin Streelman +30000
Hayden Springer +30000
Grayson Murray +30000
Erik Barnes +30000
Brandon Wu +30000
Ben Martin +30000
Alex Smalley +30000
Stewart Cink +35000
Matt NeSmith +35000
Mac Meissner +35000
Kevin Dougherty +35000
Zac Blair +40000
Roger Sloan +40000
Rico Hoey +40000
Pierceson Coody +40000
Nicholas Lindheim +40000
Hayden Buckley +40000
Harrison Endycott +40000
Chez Reavie +40000
Camilo Villegas +40000
Callum Tarren +40000
Bronson Burgoon +40000
Wilson Furr +50000
Rafael Campos +50000
Patrick Fishburn +50000
Padraig Harrington +50000
Kevin Chappell +50000
Ben Kohles +50000
Tyson Alexander +60000
Tom Whitney +60000
Norman Xiong +60000
David Lipsky +60000
Adrien Dumont De Chassart +60000
Hint Crowe +80000
Ryan McCormick +80000
Luke Donald +80000
Raul Pereda +100000
Jimmy Walker +100000
Brandt Snedeker +100000
Andrew Landry +100000
Josh Teater +150000
Ryan Brehm +200000
Paul Barjon +200000
Scott Gutschewski +250000
Kevin Kisner +250000
J.B. Holmes +250000
Ben Taylor +250000
Blaine Hale Jr. +500000
Ben Willman +500000

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